October 4: Corn Prices Edge Higher With October WASDE in Focus

Corn prices ticked higher Thursday as traders and analysts began to speculate on next week’s release of the October WASDE report. Informa has estimated that the U.S. corn yield will come in at 182.1 bushels per acre.

That figure would peg U.S. corn production at 14.89 billion bushels.

Soybean prices dipped due to concerns about higher yields in next week’s WASDE report. Wheat prices found slight gains as well. Here’s more from the Chicago Board of Trade.

Winter Wheat Prices Go Higher

December 2018 SRW prices added 2.75 cents to close at $5.18. The March 2019 contract added 2 cents to end trading just under $5.37 per bushel.

December HRW contracts lost 3.5 cents and closed trading just above $5.22. The March contract gained 3 cents to close a tick above $5.45.

December spring wheat prices were unchanged today and finished at $5.8975. The March 2019 contract added 0.5 cents to end the day a tick under $6.03.

The USDA reported net sales of 435,300 metric tons of wheat for 2018/2019. That figure was off 34% from the previous week but still topped the 4-week average by 8%.

Wheat exports came in 34% lower than the previous week at 317,100 MT. The top five destinations were Thailand (55,000 MT), Iraq (52,200 MT), Japan (41,300 MT), the Philippines (39,600), and Italy (32,800 MT).

The agency said that hard red winter exports totaled 89,700 MT, while soft red winter wheat exports totaled 30,600 MT.

Corn Ticks Green Ahead of October WASDE Report

December corn prices added 2.75 cents to finish trading at $3.675. The March 2019 contract added 2.5 cents to finish just above $3.79 per bushel.

Today, traders reacted to a positive export report from the USDA. The agency pegged corn sales at 1.431 MMT. That number was 92% higher than the same period last year.

The agency pegged weekly exports at 1.408 MMT.

The top five destinations for U.S. corn were Mexico (390,600 MT), Japan (307,200 MT), Peru (154,900), South Korea (139,800 MT), and Saudi Arabia (82,500 MT).

So far this year, total exports have reached 4.572 MMT. That is well ahead of last year’s pace. Accumulated corn exports at this time last year totaled just 3.042 MMT.

Informa wasn’t the only firm to release new estimates on production. IEG Vantage has also pegged U.S. production at 14.9 billion.

Soybean Prices Edge Lower in Chicago

November soybean prices fell 2.25 cents to close a tick above $8.59. The January 2019 contract fell 2.75 cents to end the day at $8.73 per bushel.

Today, the USDA pegged soybean sales at 1.52 MMT for 2018/2019. Mexico accounted for 730,400 MT of these sales.

The agency said that weekly exports totaled 720,500 MT.

The top five destinations were Germany (135,800 MT), Thailand (87,800 MT), the Netherlands (79,500 MT), Pakistan (66,700 MT), and Mexico (65,700 MT).

Informa now projects that U.S. soybean yields will come in at 53 bushels per acre. That was a slight increase from their previous estimate. Informa now expects production to hit 4.677 billion bushels.

Front-month canola prices continued to hold under CAD $500 per tonne. The November contract shed CAD 10 cents and finished trading at CAD $499.00.

The January canola contract gained CAD $0.70 to close the day at CAD $504.70.

Earn More Money for Your Grain

Looking for daily content on the U.S. and Canadian grain prices?

Be sure to sign up for the daily Breakfast Brief. Each morning, FarmLead CEO Brennan Turner offers readers a look inside the numbers to break down what is moving grain prices across the continent.

We’re not just talking exchanges in Chicago and Winnipeg.

We’re talking about local prices on some commodities with limited price transparency and liquidity all across the continent. If you’re growing flax, lentils, oats, and more, we’ve got you covered.

Sign up for the Breakfast Brief right here.


About the Author
Garrett Baldwin

Garrett Baldwin is a content strategist and editor at FarmLead. He covers the global grain markets and public policy issues related to the agricultural industry. He is a graduate of the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. He also holds a Master’s Degree in Economic Policy from The Johns Hopkins University, an MS in Agricultural Economics from Purdue University, and an MBA in Finance from Indiana University.

Most Recent Posts
Apr 3 – Lentil Prices, Soybean Exports, & Freight/Labour Challenges
April 03, 2020 Brennan Turner
Grain markets this morning are mostly green as bullish news for oil prices and supply concerns in South America and India are helping everything from soybean to lentil prices.
October 3, 2018: Canola Prices Continue to Rise
October 03, 2018 Garrett Baldwin
Front-month canola prices were in striking distance of CAD $500 per ton as investors continued to speculate on the weather in Canada.
Pea Prices in 2020 Diverge as Farmers Look Up and Abroad
January 14, 2020 Brennan Turner
Pea prices are starting 2020 out on a bit of a divergent path, at least within the complex, as yellow pea prices drag lower while green pea prices soar.