March 2018 Spring Wheat Prices Recap

March was another tough month for spring wheat prices. Competition across the global wheat complex and changes in buyer behavior are weighing on trader sentiment. So too was the surprising uptick in spring acreage numbers projected by the USDA this week.

This week, the USDA projected that spring wheat acres would come in at 32.71 million acres. That number was 1.62 million acres higher than 2017. This number stunned traders. Regardless of drought matters in the Dakotas, planting will proceed as scheduled as farmers look for a rebound in the sector.

Here’s a breakdown of the action on the contracts that we’re watching this month:

  • May 2018: -7.0% or -43.3¢ to $5.785 USD / bushel
  • July 2018: -7.0% or -44.3¢ to $5.865 USD / bushel
  • Dec 2018: -5.9% or -38.0¢ to $6.070 USD / bushel
  • Mar 2019: -4.9% or -31.8¢ to $6.185 USD / bushel

And this quarter:

  • May 2018: -7.1% or -44.0¢ USD / bushel
  • July 2018: -6.4% or -39.8¢ USD / bushel
  • Dec 2018: -4.1% or -26.0¢ USD / bushel
  • Mar 2019: -3.1% or -19.5¢ USD / bushel

Drought conditions across the United States are contracting, and traders are growing more cautious about changing conditions in the international wheat market, and whose got the competitive edge. This month, we explored a few of these key factors for our readers.

Specifically, we looked at:

Be sure to sign up for your free 3-week trial at GrainCents as this month could be the most impactful for how and when you price your spring wheat for the rest of 2017/18 old crop supply, as well as a significant portion of your 2018/19 supply.

About the Author
Garrett Baldwin

Garrett Baldwin is a content strategist and editor at FarmLead. He covers the global grain markets and public policy issues related to the agricultural industry. He is a graduate of the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. He also holds a Master’s Degree in Economic Policy from The Johns Hopkins University, an MS in Agricultural Economics from Purdue University, and an MBA in Finance from Indiana University.

Most Recent Posts
Apr. 24 – Statistics Canada Says No Major Plant 2019 Surprises
April 24, 2019 Brennan Turner
Grain markets this morning mostly green, including canola, factoring estimate from Statistics Canada of 21.3 million acres seeded in Canada
October 4: Corn Prices Edge Higher With October WASDE in Focus
October 04, 2018 Garrett Baldwin
Corn prices ticked higher Thursday as traders and analysts began to speculate on next week’s release of the October WASDE report.
Accounting for Weather Ahead of Corn & Soybean Plant 2019
March 18, 2019 Brennan Turner
While the trade war is still grabbing a lot of headlines, it's the recent volatile weather that is starting to help grain prices improve.